The twenty imports Turkmenistan is best placed to replace.
Turkmenistan imported USD 3.4bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 790m. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well, with how concentrated the supply of each is.
Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.
Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Turkmenistan already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Turkmenistan would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.
This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Turkmenistan does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.
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1
Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines (not seamless), longitudinally...HS 730511
Comes fromKazakhstan 98%, 2 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well17Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 47m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 13 per cent (2); Kazakhstan supplies 98 per cent (2).
USD 47mfrom USD 3m in 2022 -
2
Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.c. in heading 7308HS 730890
Comes fromTurkey 81%, 14 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 11k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 31mCountries that export it well33Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 43m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 24 per cent (2); Turkey supplies 81 per cent (2).
USD 43mdown 37% on 2022 -
3
Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectorsHS 854449
Comes fromTurkey 84%, 19 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 19kCountries that export it well35Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 41m, top 8 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); Turkey supplies 84 per cent (2).
USD 41mdown 3% on 2022 -
4
Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves...HS 721420
Comes fromKazakhstan 79%, 4 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 24mCountries that export it well45Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 37m, top 14 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 1 per cent (3); Kazakhstan supplies 79 per cent (2).
USD 37mdown 50% on 2022 -
5
Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matterHS 170199
Comes fromAzerbaijan 97%, 6 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well44Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 22m, top 32 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 3 per cent (3); Azerbaijan supplies 97 per cent (2).
USD 22mdown 42% on 2022 -
6
Iron or steel (excluding cast iron or stainless steel): seamless, casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for...HS 730429
Comes fromUkraine 47%, 8 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 14mCountries that export it well18Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 58m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 35 per cent (1); Ukraine supplies 47 per cent (1).
USD 58mfrom USD 9m in 2022 -
7
Boring or sinking machinery: parts for boring or sinking machinery of subheading 8430.41 or 8430.49HS 843143
Comes fromChina 79%, 19 source countriesNearest export strengthBoring and sinking machinery: not self-propelled (exports USD 3m)Exports of this lineUSD 83k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 11mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 38m, top 11 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1); China supplies 79 per cent (2).
USD 38mup 98% on 2022 -
8
Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorriesHS 401120
Comes fromChina 95%, 9 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 92k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 19mCountries that export it well18Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 31m, top 15 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 32 per cent (1); China supplies 95 per cent (2).
USD 31mup 9% on 2022 -
9
Buildings: prefabricated, not of woodHS 940690
Comes fromTurkey 85%, 5 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 57kCountries that export it well38Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 29m, top 20 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 31 per cent (1); Turkey supplies 85 per cent (2).
USD 29mup 14% on 2022 -
10
Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plasticsHS 721070
Comes fromChina 100%, 3 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well25Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 22m, top 31 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 17 per cent (2); China supplies 100 per cent (2).
USD 22mup 45% on 2022 -
11
Aluminium: stranded wire, cables, plaited bands and the like, (not electrically insulated), with steel coreHS 761410
Comes fromTurkey 89%, 3 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well15Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 19m, top 42 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 18 per cent (2); Turkey supplies 89 per cent (2).
USD 19mfrom USD 499k in 2022 -
12
Marble, travertine and alabaster: articles thereof, (other than simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface)HS 680291
Comes fromTurkey 86%, 2 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 15mCountries that export it well16Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 14m, top 73 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 10 per cent (3); Turkey supplies 86 per cent (2).
USD 14mup 410% on 2022 -
13
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: phosphatic, superphosphates, other than containing by weight 35% or more of...HS 310319
Comes fromUzbekistan 100%, 1 source countryNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well14Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 14m, top 76 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 7 per cent (3); Uzbekistan supplies 100 per cent (2).
USD 14ma year -
14
Preparations with a basis of extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffeeHS 210112
Comes fromMalaysia 84%, 8 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 10kCountries that export it well25Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 13m, top 80 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 10 per cent (3); Malaysia supplies 84 per cent (2).
USD 13mup 29% on 2022 -
15
Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses...HS 300490
Comes fromIndia 28%, 33 source countriesNearest export strengthWashing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not... (exports USD 10m)Exports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well32Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 68m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 44 per cent (1).
USD 68mup 27% on 2022 -
16
Tableware and kitchenware: of porcelain or chinaHS 691110
Comes fromChina 93%, 12 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 144kCountries that export it well13Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 18m, top 46 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1); China supplies 93 per cent (2).
USD 18mup 22% on 2022 -
17
Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording...HS 852872
Comes fromChina 84%, 5 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well17Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 18m, top 48 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 30 per cent (1); China supplies 84 per cent (2).
USD 18mdown 41% on 2022 -
18
Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom useHS 940360
Comes fromTurkey 82%, 17 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 2kCountries that export it well30Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 10m, top 99 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 15 per cent (2); Turkey supplies 82 per cent (2).
USD 10mup 28% on 2022 -
19
Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substancesHS 441011
Comes fromTurkey 100%, 1 source countryNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 805kCountries that export it well38Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 10m, top 100 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 15 per cent (2); Turkey supplies 100 per cent (2).
USD 10mdown 41% on 2022 -
20
Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)HS 871639
Comes fromGermany 49%, 16 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 100kCountries that export it well25Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 21m, top 38 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkmenistan's export strengths in the top 48 per cent (1); Germany supplies 49 per cent (1).
USD 21mup 76% on 2022
One line per customs heading. Products Turkmenistan already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.
Scale conversations, not capability ones.
No line where the country already exports well and still imports more than it sells abroad.
Three scores, each from a field the record carries.
Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 71 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.
Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.
Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.
Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.
A map of where to look.
Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.
Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-03. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.
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