The twenty imports Turkey is best placed to replace.
Turkey imported USD 208bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 206bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well, with how concentrated the supply of each is.
Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.
Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Turkey already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Turkey would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.
This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Turkey does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.
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1
Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matterHS 170199
Comes fromMorocco 70%, 43 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 121mCountries that export it well44Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 329m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 23 per cent (2); Morocco supplies 70 per cent (2).
USD 329mdown 8% on 2022 -
2
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solutionHS 310210
Comes fromOman 56%, 35 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 59m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 138mCountries that export it well27Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 881m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 25 per cent (2); Oman supplies 56 per cent (1).
USD 881mdown 52% on 2022 -
3
Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or shipsHS 854430
Comes fromMorocco 32%, 78 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 446m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 359mCountries that export it well30Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 572m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 9 per cent (3).
USD 572mup 37% on 2022 -
4
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)HS 310530
Comes fromMorocco 70%, 15 source countriesNearest export strengthFertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing... (exports USD 57m)Exports of this lineUSD 105m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 208mCountries that export it well17Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 361m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 31 per cent (1); Morocco supplies 70 per cent (2).
USD 361mup 70% on 2022 -
5
Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale)...HS 950300
Comes fromChina 64%, 102 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 94mCountries that export it well12Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 306m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1); China supplies 64 per cent (2).
USD 306mup 49% on 2022 -
6
Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of...HS 470329
Comes fromBrazil 49%, 18 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 47m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 506mCountries that export it well11Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 546m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1); Brazil supplies 49 per cent (1).
USD 546mup 16% on 2022 -
7
Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materialsHS 640419
Comes fromChina 37%, 90 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 147m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 143mCountries that export it well24Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 488m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 19 per cent (2).
USD 488mup 65% on 2022 -
8
Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition...HS 640399
Comes fromVietnam 27%, 96 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 290m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 12mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 383m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 16 per cent (2).
USD 383mup 138% on 2022 -
9
Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or...HS 640299
Comes fromChina 40%, 89 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 267m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 86mCountries that export it well16Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 361m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1); China supplies 40 per cent (1).
USD 361mup 118% on 2022 -
10
Semiconductor media: smart cards, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37HS 852352
Comes fromChina 47%, 89 source countriesNearest export strengthFurniture incorporating refrigerating or freezing equipment: for... (exports USD 571m)Exports of this lineUSD 15m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 95mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 263m, top 8 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1); China supplies 47 per cent (1).
USD 263mup 92% on 2022 -
11
Electric motors: AC motors, single-phaseHS 850140
Comes fromChina 73%, 55 source countriesNearest export strengthElectrical apparatus: automatic circuit breakers, for a voltage not... (exports USD 151m)Exports of this lineUSD 52m; 9 more lines in the heading, USD 919mCountries that export it well14Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 191m, top 12 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 42 per cent (1); China supplies 73 per cent (2).
USD 191mup 14% on 2022 -
12
Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, with electric motor for propulsion, with or...HS 871160
Comes fromChina 86%, 22 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 45m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 1.1bnCountries that export it well16Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 91m, top 24 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); China supplies 86 per cent (2).
USD 91mup 95% on 2022 -
13
Footwear: parts, outer soles and heels, of rubber or plasticsHS 640620
Comes fromChina 79%, 47 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 13m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 36mCountries that export it well19Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 40m, top 46 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 18 per cent (2); China supplies 79 per cent (2).
USD 40mdown 4% on 2022 -
14
Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary formsHS 390210
Comes fromSaudi Arabia 35%, 62 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 108m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 746mCountries that export it well26Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 2.2bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).
USD 2.2bndown 21% on 2022 -
15
Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses...HS 300490
Comes fromGermany 24%, 98 source countriesNearest export strengthPaints and varnishes: based on acrylic or vinyl polymers, dispersed... (exports USD 89m)Exports of this lineUSD 1.2bn; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 469mCountries that export it well32Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.9bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 45 per cent (1).
USD 1.9bnup 9% on 2022 -
16
Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of...HS 720711
Comes fromMalaysia 24%, 31 source countriesNearest export strengthIron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly... (exports USD 277m)Exports of this lineUSD 33m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 2.1bnCountries that export it well24Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.8bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 39 per cent (1).
USD 1.8bnup 23% on 2022 -
17
Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than...HS 853710
Comes fromChina 24%, 104 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 645mCountries that export it well29Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.6bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1).
USD 1.6bnup 28% on 2022 -
18
Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94HS 390110
Comes fromSaudi Arabia 25%, 56 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 153m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 1.5bnCountries that export it well28Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.2bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 48 per cent (1).
USD 1.2bndown 22% on 2022 -
19
Plastics: other articles n.e.c. in chapter 39HS 392690
Comes fromChina 23%, 129 source countriesNearest export strengthnone namedExports of this lineUSD 561m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 71mCountries that export it well23Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 840m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).
USD 840mup 21% on 2022 -
20
Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)HS 760612
Comes fromChina 20%, 50 source countriesNearest export strengthAluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, (not... (exports USD 421m)Exports of this lineUSD 364mCountries that export it well22Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 733m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 44 per cent (1).
USD 733mup 7% on 2022
One line per customs heading. Products Turkey already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.
Scale conversations, not capability ones.
- Vehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine... imports USD 2.0bn, exports USD 484m, top source Spain 42%
- Tractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with only compression-ignition... imports USD 1.4bn, exports USD 717m, top source France 26%
- Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of... imports USD 1.1bn, exports USD 495m, top source China 35%
- Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of... imports USD 616m, exports USD 77m, top source Romania 55%
- Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of... imports USD 740m, exports USD 248m, top source China 67%
- Amino-resins: n.e.c. in heading no. 3909, in primary forms, poly(methylene... imports USD 502m, exports USD 140m, top source China 29%
- Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional... imports USD 1.0bn, exports USD 664m, top source Russia 69%
- Vehicle parts: drive-axles with differential, whether or not provided with... imports USD 802m, exports USD 456m, top source Germany 38%
- Ammonia: anhydrous imports USD 376m, exports USD 120m, top source Algeria 35%
- Nickel: articles thereof n.e.c. in item no. 7508.1 imports USD 260m, exports USD 44m, top source United States 77%
Three scores, each from a field the record carries.
Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 1867 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.
Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.
Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.
Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.
A map of where to look.
Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.
Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-03. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.
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